Weather/Disaster Hurricane Gustav

[Beth n Rod]

Tropical Storm: 5 Day Forecast Map : Weather Underground

I hope he weakens before he hits Louisiana! Sure looks like he is heading that way! Looks like he'll kiss Florida too!

Beth

[Beth n Rod]

Statement as of 5:00 am EDT on August 26, 2008
...Gustav strengthening south of Haiti...should make landfall later
today...

at 5 am EDT...0900 UTC...the government of Cuba has issued a
Hurricane Watch for the Cuban provinces of Las Tunas...
Granma...Holguin...Santiago de Cuba...and Guantanamo. Also the
government of Jamaica has changed the tropical storm watch to a
Hurricane Watch for Jamaica. A Hurricane Watch means that
hurricane conditions are possible within the watch area...generally
within 36 hours.

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect from Barahona in the Dominican
Republic westward to Le Mole St Nicholas Haiti. Preparations to
protect life and property should be rushed to completion.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for Haiti from Le Mole St
Nicholas to the northern Haiti/Dominican Republic border.

Interests in central and western Cuba and the Cayman Islands should
closely monitor the progress of Gustav.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 500 am EDT...0900z...the center of Hurricane Gustav was located
near latitude 17.2 north...longitude 71.9 west or about 100 miles...
160 km...south-southeast of Port au Prince Haiti and about 300 miles
...480 km...southeast of Guantanamo Cuba.

Gustav is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph...15 km/hr...and
this motion is expected to continue today with a turn toward the
west-northwest and a decrease in forward speed forecast on
Wednesday. On this track this hurricane should move over
southwestern Haiti later today and near or just south of Cuba on
Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph...140
km/hr...with higher gusts. Gustav is a category one hurricane on
the Saffir-Simpson scale. The hurricane could become a category
two hurricane before landfall in Haiti later today.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 25 miles...35 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 70
miles...110 km.

The latest minimum central pressure as reported from an Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is 984 mb...29.06 inches.
Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 4 to 7
inches over southern Hispaniola and Jamaica...with isolated maximum
amounts of up to 15 inches possible. These intense rains may
produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 2-4 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected near and to the east of where the center makes
landfall.

Repeating the 500 am EDT position...17.2 N...71.9 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 9 mph. Maximum sustained winds...85 mph.
Minimum central pressure...984 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane
Center at 800 am EDT followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
am EDT.

$$
Forecaster Blake/Avila

[Lightning Gene]

Come on Gustav....Waiting on you.......

[Joe Ortiz]

The Waves will be cranking here on south padre island.But its sad that what creates such beutifull Gems for us can also destroy so much. but Gustav is still very unpredictable and may just hit us down here. Good Luck To All!!!

[Beth n Rod]

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tropical storm gustav advisory number 18
nws tpc/national hurricane center miami fl al072008
500 am edt fri aug 29 2008

...gustav near the southwestern coast of jamaica heading toward the
cayman islands...

Hurricane warnings remain in effect for jamaica and the cayman
islands. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed
to completion.

A hurricane watch remains in effect for western cuba...for the
provinces of isla de juventud...pinar del rio...la habana...and
ciudad de la habana.

A tropical storm warning remains in effect for the cuban province of
granma.

A tropical storm watch remain in effect for the cuban province of
matanzas. Tropical storm watches may be required for portions of
central cuba later today.

For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

At 500 am edt...0900z...the center of tropical storm gustav was
located near latitude 18.1 north...longitude 78.1 west or about 85
miles...140 km...west of kingston jamaica and about 220 miles...355
km...east-southeast of grand cayman.

Gustav is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph...13 km/hr.
A turn toward the northwest is forecast on saturday. On this
track...the center of gustav will leave jamaica in the next few
hours...move near or over the cayman islands later today...and
approach western cuba on saturday.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 65 mph...100 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next 24 hours...and
gustav is expected to become a hurricane later today or tomorrow.
Gustav could become a major hurricane before reaching western cuba.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles...220 km
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure from air force reconnaissance
data is 991 mb...29.26 inches.

Coastal storm surge flooding of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels
can be expected in areas of onshore winds in the hurricane warning
area.

Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to
12 inches across jamaica and the cayman islands...with isolated
maximum amounts of up to 25 inches possible. These rains will
likely produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are possible over southern
cuba.

Repeating the 500 am edt position...18.1 n...78.1 w. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 8 mph. Maximum sustained winds...65
mph. Minimum central pressure...991 mb.

An intermediate advisory will be issued by the national hurricane
center at 800 am edt followed by the next complete advisory at 1100
am edt.

$$
forecaster blake/avila

[Beth n Rod]

Statement as of 3:15 PM EDT on August 29, 2008
Data from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that
Gustav has again become a hurricane with maximum winds near 75
mph...120 km/hr.
$$
Forecaster Knabb

Tropical Storm Gustav intermediate advisory number 19a
200 PM EDT Fri Aug 29 2008

...Gustav almost a hurricane...
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cayman Islands...and
for the western Cuban provinces of Isla de Juventud...Pinar del
Rio...la Habana...and Ciudad de la Habana. A Hurricane Warning
means that hurricane conditions are expected within the warning
area within the next 24 hours. Preparations to protect life and
property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Jamaica...and for the
central Cuban provinces of Matanzas...Cienfuegos...Villa
Clara...Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...Camaguey...and Granma.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected within the warning area within the next 24 hours.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

At 200 PM EDT...1800z...the center of Tropical Storm Gustav was
located near latitude 18.8 north...longitude 79.3 west or about 125
miles...200 km...east-southeast of Grand Cayman and about 425 miles
...685 km...east-southeast of the western tip of Cuba.

Gustav is moving toward the west-northwest near 11 mph...19 km/hr.
A northwestward motion is expected to begin today and to continue
on Saturday and Sunday. On this track...the center of Gustav will
pass near or over the Cayman Islands later today...over the western
portions of Cuba on Saturday...and into the southern Gulf of Mexico
on Sunday.

Data from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds are near 70 mph...110 km/hr...with higher gusts.
Strengthening is likely during the next couple of days...and Gustav
is expected to become a hurricane at any time today. Gustav could
become a major hurricane before reaching western Cuba.

Tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles...220 km
from the center.

The minimum central pressure just reported by the Air Force
reconnaissance aircraft was 984 mb...29.06 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 2 to 5 feet above normal tide levels
is possible in the Cayman Islands...with 8 to 13 feet possible near
where the center of Gustav crosses western Cuba...including Isla de
Juventud.

Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to
12 inches across Jamaica...the Cayman Islands...and western
Cuba...with isolated maximum amounts of up to 25 inches possible.
These rains will likely produce life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides. Rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are possible
over southern Cuba.

Repeating the 200 PM EDT position...18.8 N...79.3 W. Movement
toward...west-northwest near 11 mph. Maximum sustained winds...70
mph. Minimum central pressure...984 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
500 PM EDT.

$$
Forecaster Knabb

[Beth n Rod]

Statement as of 5:00 PM EDT on August 29, 2008
...Gustav becomes a hurricane over the northwestern Caribbean...

at 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...a tropical storm watch is issued for the
lower Florida Keys from west of the Seven Mile Bridge westward to
Dry Tortugas. A tropical storm watch means that tropical storm
conditions are possible within the watch area...generally within 36
hours.

A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for the Cayman Islands...and
for the western Cuban provinces of Isla de Juventud...Pinar del
Rio...la Habana...and Ciudad de la Habana.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for Jamaica...and for the
central Cuban provinces of Matanzas...Cienfuegos...Villa
Clara...Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...Camaguey...and Granma.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

At 500 PM EDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Gustav was located
near latitude 19.2 north...longitude 79.7 west or about 100 miles...
160 km...east of Grand Cayman and about 380 miles...610 km...
east-southeast of the western tip of Cuba.

Gustav is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph...19 km/hr...and
this general motion is expected to continue during the next couple
of days. On this track...the center of Gustav will pass near or
over the Cayman Islands tonight...over the western portions of Cuba
on Saturday...and into the southern Gulf of Mexico on Saturday
night or Sunday.

Data from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds are near 75 mph...120 km/hr...with higher gusts.
Gustav is a category one hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale.
Strengthening is forecast during the next couple of days...and
Gustav could become a major hurricane near the time it crosses
western Cuba.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles...45 km...from
the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 160
miles...260 km.

The minimum central pressure recently reported by the reconnaissance
aircraft was 980 mb...28.94 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 2 to 5 feet above normal tide levels
is possible in the Cayman Islands...with 8 to 13 feet possible near
where the center of Gustav crosses western Cuba...including Isla de
Juventud.

Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to
12 inches across Jamaica...the Cayman Islands...and western
Cuba...with isolated maximum amounts of up to 25 inches possible.
These rains will likely produce life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides. Rainfall accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are possible
over southern Cuba.

Repeating the 500 PM EDT position...19.2 N...79.7 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...75 mph.
Minimum central pressure...980 mb.

[Beth n Rod]

Statement as of 8:00 am EDT on August 30, 2008

...Major Hurricane Gustav continues to strengthen...
...Conditions deteriorating over the Isle of Youth...
At 800 am EDT...1200 UTC...the government of Cuba has issued a
Hurricane Warning for the Cuban provinces of Matanzas and
Cienfuegos. A Hurricane Warning is now in effect for the western
Cuban provinces of Pinar del Rio...la Habana...Ciudad de la
Habana...Isla de Juventud...Matanzas...and Cienfuegos.
Preparations to protect life and property in the Hurricane Warning
area should be rushed to completion.
A Hurricane Warning also remains in effect for the Cayman Islands.

A Hurricane Watch remains in effect for the central Cuban province
of Villa Clara. A Hurricane Watch means that hurricane conditions
are possible within the watch area... generally within 36 hours.

A Tropical Storm Warning remains in effect for the lower Florida
Keys west of Key West to the Dry Tortugas and for the central Cuban
provinces of Villa Clara...Sancti Spiritus...Ciego de Avila...and
Camaguey. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm
conditions are expected within the warning area within the next 24
hours.
A tropical storm watch remains in effect for the lower Florida Keys
west of the Seven Mile Bridge to Key West.

Interests in the Gulf of Mexico and the northern Gulf Coast should
closely monitor the progress of Gustav.

For storm information specific to your area...please monitor
products issued by your local weather office.

At 800 am EDT...1200z...the eye of Hurricane Gustav was located
near latitude 20.8 north...longitude 81.6 west or about 85 miles...
135 km...southeast of the Isle of Youth and about 225 miles...360 km
...East-southeast of the western tip of Cuba.

Gustav has jogged toward the north-northwest during the past few
hours...but is expected to soon resume a motion toward the
northwest near 12 mph...19 km/hr...and this motion is expected to
continue for the next couple of days. On this track...the center
of Gustav will pass over western Cuba later today and tonight...and
move into the southern Gulf of Mexico early Sunday and into the
central Gulf by early Monday.

Data from an Air Force reconnaissance aircraft indicate that maximum
sustained winds have continued to increase and are now near 120
mph...195 km/hr...with higher gusts. Gustav is a dangerous
category three hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale.
Gustav is expected to pass over western Cuba as a major
hurricane...and could reach category four status before making
landfall there. Additional strengthening is possible over the
southern Gulf of Mexico.
Gustav is a large tropical cyclone. Hurricane force winds extend
outward up to 60 miles...95 km...from the center...and tropical
storm force winds extend outward up to 160 miles...260 km.

The minimum central pressure based on reports from both Air Force
and NOAA reconnaissance aircraft is 955 mb...28.20 inches.
Coastal storm surge flooding of 2 to 5 feet above normal tide levels
is possible in the Cayman Islands...with 14 to 19 feet possible near
where the center of Gustav crosses western Cuba...including the Isle
of Youth. Storm surge of 1 to 3 feet above normal tide levels is
possible in the Dry Tortugas as Gustav passes to its west.

Gustav is expected to produce total rainfall accumulations of 6 to
12 inches across the Cayman Islands...and central and western
Cuba...with isolated maximum amounts of up to 25 inches possible.
These rains will likely produce life-threatening flash floods and
mud slides. Rainfall of 1 to 3 inches is possible over Florida Keys
and extreme South Florida by Sunday morning.

Repeating the 800 am EDT position...20.8 N...81.6 W. Movement
toward...northwest near 12 mph. Maximum sustained winds...120 mph.
Minimum central pressure...955 mb.

The next advisory will be issued by the National Hurricane Center at
1100 am EDT.

$$
Forecaster Knabb